Saturday, May 31, 2008

The Self-Defeating Oil Surge


Promod Radhakrishnan submits:


After a brief spell of (unwarranted) upward bounce, last week saw the market erase most of its gains and swing back down to 12,600 levels. Though this is still significantly above the low touched on March 10, during the Fed-JPMorgan (JPM)-Bear Stearns (BSC) drama.


Oil continued it's nonchalant upward climb, touching as high as USD 133/barrel. It's difficult not to say that OPEC and the other supply side players are stretching their luck. Though there is no refuting the fact that industrial/consumer growth results in increased demand for several gas-guzzling 'instruments' across both the developed and developing worlds, an unreasonable spurt in prices raise red alarms. It's like a forewarning of future danger due to over-reliance on oil; this in turn shifts tremendous amount of attention on alternative energy - solar being the flavor of the day.


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